Iran will completely shut the strategic Strait of Hormuz if Trump executes threats to target Iranian energy facilities, the country’s Revolutionary Guards said in a statement on Sunday.
Trump on Saturday threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants if Tehran did not fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48-hours, suggesting a significant escalation barely a day after he talked about “winding down” the war, now in its fourth week.
In their Sunday statement Iran’s Revolutionary Guards also said companies with U.S. shares will be ‘completely destroyed’, if Iranian energy facilities were targeted by Washington and energy facilities in countries that host U.S. bases will be ‘lawful’ targets.
Trump assumes the IRGC are as dumb as him and the people he’s surrounded himself with, which is going to be catastrophic for how this goes for him. The IRGC are theocratic authoritarians who are not motivated by money, and he can’t conceive of this, so is clearly at a total loss as to how to handle the situation he has created
Just like the taliban, they aren’t motivated by money, that is insightful. They believe in something. Which means none of what the US can do will work on them, just as it didn’t with the taliban.
Worked on the Houthis though. Iran might be a tougher nut but they won’t sacrifice everything just to keep the Strait closed
Then again, keeping power over the Strait is one of the most valuable pieces they still have on the board
Raising oil prices is the ONLY card Iran has to play.
Closing the straight is multifaceted, but yeah, hurting the global economy is pretty much their only strategy due to the asymmetric nature of this war.
but as far as cards go, it is the ace of spades.
Oil AND gas.
Which in turn will propagate to massive inflation in the West and possibly even problems with food production.
Further they can fuck up the economy of the Gulf states which are allies of America to such a point that they end up in a death spiral from which they can’t recover.
Idk, a bomb vest in Disneyland would be an interesting maneuver
Mossad would do everything possible to help some mentally ill do that. Talk is they are hard at doing such.
Just pointing out there’s less technical options
What worked with Houthis? they kinda paused because genocide was kinda paused, their demands were met and they made it clear they are ready to join again to fight Epstein coalition.
Ah yes, the Houthis paused because their demands were met
pats head
Whatever makes you feel good :)
deleted by creator
deleted by creator
I’m in a very very privileged position to be able to say this, but I am more than happy to pay a little bit extra at the pump and on my gas bill, just for that colossal fuckwomble to be shown up on the world stage for being a weapons grade tosser.
Is it childish? Yes. Does it make me feel slightly better about the world? Also yes.
How long do you think that position will last?
If energy infrastructure is destroyed, then “paying a little bit extra at the pump” is just the beginning. You will need to reduce your overall consumption by 15-20%.
Remember the worst month of Covid? That’s the last time consumption was reduced so heavily. Now imagine that Covid lifestyle for 5 years as energy infrastructure is rebuilt.
The joy of Trump’s downfall will not be enough to mask the real economic pain, unfortunately.
You say that as if I haven’t already been doing that.
I feel like this would be a net win for the world. Everyone in the old empire is shooting themselves in the dick right now. If Iran stops the flow of oil, countries are going to be forced to very, very, very quickly invest heavily in renewables more than they already are.
This idiot may have single handedly put a dent in global warming.
Also an Oil Shock will almost certainly cause the AI bubble to burst, another win which also reduces global warming.
Personally I would also love to see the ended of the Reserve Currency status for the USD, which is a possible consequence of the reduction in use of Oil (though it’s a less likely outcome in the short and even mid term).
PS: By the way, great username.
haha, thank you
I also recognize my privileged position when I say this: I’m pretty sure I can tolerate it longer than the American Oligarchs will tolerate the loss of profit and start using those politicians they’ve purchased to put an end to it.
It will accelerate energy transition.
Even Fertilizers can be produced from renewable power (the hydrogen needed to make Amonia can be produced by electrolosys) and need not be made from gas.
A short sharp pain might be in the best mid and long term interest for most of us, the environment and even parts of the Middle East itself (American interference there makes no sense if their Oil is just another unimportant mineral product) and it might even lead to the end of the USD Reserve Currency status.
Yeah nah probably about a day or two.
Shit. Maybe the Alberta oil sands will finally be profitable! Haha, nah just kidding. They wont.
I read they are profitable above 60 a barrel, like 15 years back.
They’ve been profitable for some time.
A lot of people say they’re profitable at $60/barrel, but it’s more like between $50 and $80, depending on a bunch different factors, such as location and extraction method.
But that’s only considering profitability in the terms of the current political system.
If a new system came along that factored in harms to the environment, global warming, etc., they could go back to being unprofitable.
deleted by creator
Counterpoint to your counterpoint : Go rim a goat.
So the tens of millions that are going to suffer famine across the global south, and the tens of thousands that will die in the third world hospitals without power, are price you’re willing to pay?
Good to know.
No you illiterate fuck, I said I’d pay a little more at the pump to see one of the most narcissistic and dangerous world leaders get knocked down a peg or two on the world stage.
It’s soul destroying seeing the human cost of such a conflict, but your virtue signalling is both misplaced and ineffective.
You don’t get one without the other. You don’t get to choose.
I don’t disagree with you. It’s desperately sad.edit: I’d made the erroneous assumption this was a reply to a higher level comment.
What is it that you’re suggesting here?
You’re literally cheering for what you view as set of political upsides to war, and when I point out the rest of it, you get defensive.
I wonder why.
I think this wondering you’re doing is the root cause of your problem.
You’ve come up with an idea that I think there’s any political upsides to war based on some assumption that I haven’t quite figured out yet.
You’ve come up with an entire “rest of it” which doesn’t really follow anything presented in the original post.
Your “gotcha” moment doesn’t exist and is aimed at someone deeply saddened and angered by this pointless war.
I appreciate you think that you have a point, and that it’s coherent, but you don’t, and it’s not.
If they don’t have a point then what the fuck have you been going on about?