This seems like a worse own goal than “defund the police” as a slogan, best of intentions but the execution was so bad.
I’d put heavy money on Republicans running chunks of this interview hard during the run up to the midterms.
I have a sinking fear this will be one of those tragicomic moments of earnest, well intentioned progressives inadvertently helping trump, like when many sat out the 2024 election in a misguided attempt to somehow help Palestinians.
It’s closer to one third of the country, the same third that has consistently voted for unabsolvable evil and corporate interests every 2 years for decades because they mistakenly thought the GOP would lower taxes and that it would make the world better.
As for the exit poll, amounts below 10% are generally considered response bias. There is no way of knowing if that 7% of people voted for Clinton in 2016 and Trump in 2024, but it’s highly unlikely given Trump’s vote total increased 3% while the DNC candidates declined 8%.
I’m not sure if you were paying attention to it at the time but internal and external forces were pushing the protest vote movement to get DNC voters to disengage and self-disenfranchise. Wikipedia overview link here.
Sorry what? Where is this coming from?
I explained my reasoning pretty well in the comment. If you assume the sample accurately maps to the whole population then the numbers don’t add up, meaning some single digit percentage is lying
But that’s not at all a thing in statistics. I’m not sure what you’re misunderstanding but you can’t just make up arbitrary cutoffs, that’s not at all how it works.I get that you’re unhappy you’re wrong but pretending stats are however you feel is just silly.
Just search “Poll Response Bias”.
Lol feel free to share a reasonable link but having done a heavy stats degree, I’ve never encountered this. I could call the former chair of statistics Canada and ask but again, pretty sure this isn’t a thing.
It’s just so weird, when confronted with actual proof you’re going to make up statistical practices?
The wildly charitable interpretation, maybe you are getting confused by sample size or something? It wouldn’t apply here but…
Bro you should get a refund if you’re only just now learning about response bias.
Response bias exists, but there’s no “oh, under 10%, we chalk that up to response bias.”
Again, you could prove yourself correct with a sinple link. According to you, it’s just a quick search away. If you’re telling the truth, well boy, isn’t it kind of weird to keep responding instead of taking the handful of seconds to prove yourself right?
I’m telling you bro that college defrauded you