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Cake day: July 5th, 2023

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  • I believe first term Trumpgret to be more that they thought Trump was going to do things about [insert dumb ideology here] and he turned out to be [dumb ideology] personified, but they still believe in [dumb ideology]. Not that they regret the things he’s doing, more that this he not doing enough of.

    For example, drain the swamp. They thought he was going to get rid of Democrats who they thought were the swamp. It turned out during his first term he needed some Democrat support so he met in the middle and that pissed them off and then associated him with the swamp too.

    Or building the wall and making Mexico pay for it. It turns out only a small portion got built, and came from US or private (not even his) funding.

    Second term Trumpgret from everyday MAGA i agree, i don’t really believe anyone truly regrets voting for him, just that they are now hated by their loved ones, and they don’t see the direct causes of them voting for him and his actions hurting their loved ones, therefore their loved ones cut off contact.

    Trumpgret from the likes of Alex Jones, i believe comes from a place of they never really believed in the it from the start, they just saw the easy grift and now the easy money is to jump off the bandwagon.



  • Except, that’s not how it will play out.

    They need x number of ballots to overturn the will of the people. They will then look through all of the ballots and find “anamolies” that they will point to as fraudulent like a circle not fully filled in (see “hanging chads”) and use that as the basis to throw that ballot out.

    Rinse and repeat until x number of ballots have been tossed out, and oh would you look at that, they won! Pretty fucking convenient!

    And just like Florida in 2000, when the ballots in question are being relooked at by a neutral party, some douchbags in collared shirts and khakis start rioting outside the facility and “oh no, for safety of the people inside the count has to stop” by court order passed down from a judge; the same judge that signed this warrant in the first place.

    And on up to the Supreme Court it goes, which guess what happens there. Check out the Brooks Brothers riot, and look at some of the familiar faces in there.

    Fuck that, challenge this in courts before it gets to that point. Then vote this sheriff and judge out as soon as possible.


  • Right. So we just need Congress to do something it doesn’t want to do.

    The purpose of a system is what it does.

    I swear, this midterm is going to end up with another 45-50% voter turn out and people will continue to complain that nothing changes or has gotten worse.

    People: IF YOUR VOTE DIDN’T MATTER, THEY WOULDN’T BE SPENDING SO MUCH MONEY AND EFFORT TO KEEP YOU FROM VOTING!

    I don’t care if you live in a +60 (your political leaning) district. Vote in spite of that and make it +61.

    Vote in every god damn election you fucking can, down to School District Board elections and even HOA’s. My city councilman just lost reelection by 1 fucking vote to some douchbag who will probably get bought out by some data center asshole within a week, and even though turn out was historically high, it was still only 18-20%. And when i asked my very liberal neighbor if she and her husband voted, she said “No, we just didn’t have time”. 🤦🏻

    At least in my area, you are allowed to take time away from work to vote, it doesn’t matter what the election is for.

    KNOW YOUR RIGHTS AND FUCKING USE THEM!








  • God damn, it’s this shit right here that I’ve been calling out to my leftists circles whenever the topic of some messaging semantics change comes up. It doesn’t matter what terminology we agree on, bad faith actors from far-right think tanks will churn out BS and blast it on Fox news 24/7 until we sit down again and come up with new terminology because this new one isn’t reaching people like we intended it to reach. It’s a tactic to keep us from actually discussing ways to fix the problems, by instead focusing on those semantics and labels we affix to them.


  • What you’re describing is called a Growth Stock as opposed to a Mature Stock. I heard these terms recently when reading about the AI bubble and will just quote the relevant parts, because the author describes it better than I ever could:

    Pluralistic: The Reverse Centaur’s Guide to Criticizing AI from Cory Doctorow

    You see, when a company is growing, it is a “growth stock,” and investors really like growth stocks. When you buy a share in a growth stock, you’re making a bet that it will continue to grow. So growth stocks trade at a huge multiple of their earnings. This is called the “price to earnings ratio” or “P/E ratio.”

    But once a company stops growing, it is a “mature” stock, and it trades at a much lower P/E ratio. So for every dollar that Target – a mature company – brings in, it is worth ten dollars. It has a P/E ratio of 10, while Amazon has a P/E ratio of 36, which means that for every dollar Amazon brings in, the market values it at $36.

    It’s wonderful to run a company that’s got a growth stock. Your shares are as good as money. If you want to buy another company, or hire a key worker, you can offer stock instead of cash. And stock is very easy for companies to get, because shares are manufactured right there on the premises, all you have to do is type some zeroes into a spreadsheet, while dollars are much harder to come by. A company can only get dollars from customers or creditors.

    So when Amazon bids against Target for a key acquisition, or a key hire, Amazon can bid with shares they make by typing zeroes into a spreadsheet, and Target can only bid with dollars they get from selling stuff to us, or taking out loans, which is why Amazon generally wins those bidding wars.

    That’s the upside of having a growth stock. But here’s the downside: eventually a company has to stop growing. Like, say you get a 90% market share in your sector, how are you gonna grow?

    Once the market decides that you aren’t a growth stock, once you become mature, your stock is revalued, to a P/E ratio befitting a mature stock.

    If you are an exec at a dominant company with a growth stock, you have to live in constant fear that the market will decide that you’re not likely to grow any further. Think of what happened to Facebook in the first quarter of 2022. They told investors that they experienced slightly slower growth in the USA than they had anticipated, and investors panicked. They staged a one-day, $240B sell off. A quarter-trillion dollars in 24 hours! At the time, it was the largest, most precipitous drop in corporate valuation in human history.

    That’s a monopolist’s worst nightmare, because once you’re presiding over a “mature” firm, the key employees you’ve been compensating with stock, experience a precipitous pay-drop and bolt for the exits, so you lose the people who might help you grow again, and you can only hire their replacements with dollars. With dollars, not shares.

    And the same goes for acquiring companies that might help you grow, because they, too, are going to expect money, not stock. This is the paradox of the growth stock. While you are growing to domination, the market loves you, but once you achieve dominance, the market lops 75% or more off your value in a single stroke if they don’t trust your pricing power.

    Which is why growth stock companies are always desperately pumping up one bubble or another, spending billions to hype the pivot to video, or cryptocurrency, or NFTs, or Metaverse, or AI.


  • Saw this posted elsewhere: https://www.salon.com/2010/02/23/democrats_34/

    The tactic is called the Rotating Villain or Designated Villain, and the Democratic leadership has been using it for a VERY long time.

    I’ve been trying to call these fuckers out anytime it happens. Not just the rotating villains, but the leadership too, when they conveniently can’t whip those votes.

    The people these Democrats represent need to be made fully aware, everytime there’s a primary.

    Edit: And from one of my previous comments with regards to one of the ICE funding votes even after the public executions in January:

    "A lot of people are forgetting how a minority whip works in Congress. The term “whip” comes from a fox-hunting expression—“whipper-in”—referring to the member of the hunting team responsible for keeping the dogs from straying from the team during a chase.

    That vote went down in one of two ways, either of which is the leader and the whip’s direct responsibility.

    1: those Democrats voted on their own, in the exact number needed to pass. In which the whip is responsible for whipping up their votes to No and failed here, and Democrats need to promote a new person and primary the congressperson responsible, along with the ones who voted in favor.

    2: that Whip caved under pressure and grabbed the exact number of votes needed to pass, from Congresspersons in “safe” districts or who were already planning on retiring. In which case, Democrats need to promote a new person and primary the congressperson responsible as well as primary the ones who voted in favor.

    The Senate Democratic leader is Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) The Senate Democratic Whip is Sen. Richard Durbin (D-IL)

    The Eight Senate Democrats/Independents who voted in favor were: Sen. Richard Durbin (D-IL) Sen. Angus King (I-ME) Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV) Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA)

    The House did not have enough votes to defeat it, and all voted against but here are those leaders too. The House Democratic leader is Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) The House Democratic Minority Whip is Rep. Katherine Clark (D-MA) "

    Now just need to amend that second point from " Congresspersons in safe districts" to the " Rotating Villains".


  • Since no one really answered, and i was curious, i went ahead and googled it, lol.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CumEx-Files

    Edit: After further review of the links, Cum-Ex and Cum-Cum doesn’t look to be short for anything:

    “Cum-Ex” trades involved the acquisition of shares with (cum) dividends due on or just before the dividend record date and delivery of these shares after the dividend record date without (ex) dividends, which made it possible to obtain multiple returns of capital gains tax that had only been paid to the German tax authorities once.


  • You assume they will hand you working weapons, and not just hand you a stick.

    You assume they will train you in how to use military tactics, and not just point the real gun at you then order you to run at the enemy in that general direction over there, so they can see where the bullets are coming from.

    If you try to surrender to those at the other end, you’ll get shot in the back.

    If you somehow make it over alive, they’ll know the general area and bomb it anyway.

    We can’t assume they allow us any advantages, and need to plan for the worst.

    We can see Russia doing this already in Ukraine, using conscripts with little to no training.