• balsoft@lemmy.ml
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    2 months ago

    If you look at the history of military operations performed by both countries, it’s pretty clear which one is the more likely option

      • balsoft@lemmy.ml
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        2 months ago

        China nowadays has the capacity to steamroll half of asia into compliance. Instead they build alliances/partnerships via trade, even with countries they ideologically disagree with. It’s less profitable in the short-term but leads to more predictable and stable development in the region, which benefits them massively in the long-term. Crazy what you can do if you think in centuries and not quarters.

        • powerstruggle@sh.itjust.works
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          2 months ago

          They don’t have capacity to deal with the US intervening. If not for that, they would 100% be steamrolling everything they could. They’ve done it many times before and they’ll do it again, just like everybody else in history.

          • balsoft@lemmy.ml
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            2 months ago

            China has successfully withstood US intervention and helped communist forces prevail in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. They also semi-successfully done the same in Korea.

            They don’t fear US intervention much, it’s just that their modern foreign policy is targeted at stability and growth rather than immediate overthrow of capitalism.

            • powerstruggle@sh.itjust.works
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              2 months ago

              If China tried to invade a country, that would give the US an excuse to come to that country’s defense, and China does not have the resources to deal with that. Since they can’t use hard power, they’re using soft power.

              Expecting altruism in geopolitics is hopelessly naïve.

              • balsoft@lemmy.ml
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                2 months ago

                I don’t expect altruism. Stability and economic prosperity in the region is directly beneficial and profitable to China.